218 seats is the majority and NBC is predicting that the GOP will win the House with just 219. They were supposed to win between 230-250, but of course the inept Republican establishment blew it wasting money on Lisa Murkowski in the Senate.
With only a handful of races left to call, NBC News has run the numbers, calculated the odds, and has predicted the final outcome of the battle for the majority in the House of Representatives with 99.5% confidence.
“Though NBC News cannot project control of the House at this time, the Decision Desk has released its estimate for the U.S. House of Representatives as a whole, which reflects the most probable outcome for partisan control,” the network reports.
“To arrive at the House Estimate, the NBC News Decision Desk calculates the probability of a Democratic, Republican or third-party victory in each of the 435 individual House races based on pre-election research. On election night, election analysts examine all the available vote data in real time, adjusting the probabilities for each House race accordingly,” the network explains.
Based on all of these factors, NBC News’ Decision Desk then “calculates the most probable outcome for control of the chamber and provides a margin of error plus or minus the number of seats that could still be won by either party” and thus projects that the GOP will control of the House with a 219-seat majority.