With all the media begging for pleading for a “blue wave”, things continue to get better for Republicans, post Kavanaugh. Knowing that if a blue wave does happen, Nancy Pelosi and Maxine Waters will lead the House of Representatives, seats that were assumed to be easy Democrat holds are starting to flip. Take for instance Arizona’s First Congressional District. This seat is held by socialist Democrat Tom O’Halleran. This seat is rated as “Leans Democrat” by Real Clear Politics.
Yet, polling has been showing Wendy Rogers, ahead for some time now, and she continues to expand her lead. The latest polling finds Rogers ahead of socialist O’Halleran by 6.9%.
| Red Wave 2018: AZ01 Republican Wendy Rogers ahead of Dem incumbent O’Halleran by 6.9% |
|---|
|
A poll released Friday shows Republican congressional candidate Wendy Rogers with a widening lead over Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-AZ) in Arizona’s First Congressional District, indicating a potential Republican pickup in November.
The poll, conducted by Go Right Strategies for the Rogers campaign, shows 44.4 percent support for Rogers and 37.5 percent for O’Halleran, with 18.1 still undecided. The sample size is 943 landline respondents, and the margin of error is three points.Polling in Arizona’s First District, where Democrats have pulled out comfortable victories in each of the three election cycles since it took its current map, has been sparse this campaign season.
The First District is massive, stretching south from the Phoenix exurbs and snaking east and north to encompass more than half of Arizona’s landmass and widely diverse constituents ranging from the country’s largest Indian reservations to the ski town of Flagstaff to the suburbs of Tucson. No independent polls have been published, and the O’Halleran campaign has not released any of its own surveys. The polling analysts at both Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight rate the race as “leans Democrat” for this year, with the latter site finding it “likely Democrat” in some of its models.