Remember all the way back in December when Democrats were giddy that a Democrat won the Alabama special election for Senate? They stupidly thought Alabama was turning purple and that Democrats were going to win back in 2018. Fast forward to June. Everyone knows that Doug Jones won because Roy Moore as basically a Hillary Clinton equivalent candidate, aka the worst candidate possible. Now, at least based on current polling, with heavy over sampling of Democrats, it looks like Republicans will actually gain seats in the Senate. There is a possibility they could flip Florida, West Virginia, North Dakota, and Montana. They are favored to win Indiana and Missouri and could even flip Ohio. Wisconsin is another state, not really on the radar of anyone’s “battleground predictions”, but like 2016, it could be a surprise. Tammy Baldwin, the Marxist Democrat who is the current Democrat is widely unpopular.
| Republicans Poised to Gain Senate Seats in 2018 |
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And, even if Schumer’s party wins both of those races, the chances of successfully defending all of the vulnerable Democratic incumbents is increasingly in doubt. The Dems are playing defense hoping to hang on to five Senate seats in states that President Trump won by double digits — West Virginia, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, and Montana. On top of that, Florida Governor Rick Scott has entered the fray to challenge Democratic Senator Bill Nelson in a toss-up state. Early indications are that Scott has all the energy and momentum in the race.
The numbers clearly favor the GOP. If, for example, the Democrats pick up BOTH toss-up races in Arizona and Nevada, the Republicans need to win just one of the other six competitive races to keep the Senate at a 50-50 tie. With Vice President Mike Pence empowered to cast the deciding vote, the GOP would remain in control.